January, 1st Month - Has 31 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

February, 2nd Month - Has 28 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

March, 3rd Month - Has 31 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

April, 4th Month - Has 30 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

May, 5th Month - Has 31 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

June, 6th Month - Has 30 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

July, 7th Month - Has 31 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

August, 8th Month - Has 31 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

September, 9th Month - Has 30 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

October, 10th Month - Has 31 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

Average October temperature is 75.8 degrees. Average temperature drops 8.4 degrees on average by the 31. Climatology over the past 110 years leans toward the first 5 days to be warm dropping off somewhat after the 5, or 6. Moon enters Gemini on the 27th at 21:11:58UT. Last part of September is expected to be very cool and somewhat wet as the past 2009 season has been.

October for Indiana starts off with warming temperatures after the 2nd. Fall season outlook is for temperatures below normal with above normal precipitation. Average first Fall frost date is October 25th for the I-64 corridor.

Oct 02-03 increasing clouds with possible early morning light rain as warm air advects northward.

Full Moon Oct 4

Oct 5 Warm tropical moisture influence from the SE. Fronts slow (next few days), increasing Gulf moisture leads to higher dew points over the next several days. Continued mostly clear nights with slight increase of low level moisture.

Oct 6 Warm, humid. Increasing clouds. Increasing chance of severe TS to the midwest.

Oct 7 SQ-Moon

Oct 7 A line of thunderstorms by late afternoon through early evening indicating some wind, hail as a squall line, or outflow boundary moves through. Continued warm with tropical influence off SE shore will cause frontal boundary to possible stall in the Midwest.

Oct 08 to 09. Last of the rain

10-11 Last Quarter

12 fair weather in general with lows around 40-45, highs 68-72.

13 A fairly strong cold front passes through just before noon.

14-15 Under dome of large high pressure, Slightly below normal temperatures. Clear mornings with fair weather cumulus (puffy) clouds by afternoon.

16- Still somewhat cool, but warmer air is moving our way.

17- Early showers, then warmer.

New Moon on the 18th

18-20 Warm front, moist air on the increase with very early showers possible (19), 20. Expect front to move north giving way to warm, dry, but humid afternoon.

21-22 Warm, more humid. Overnight TS possible ahead of a cold front after midnight on the 23.

23– Pre-dawn showers, weak cold front.

24-25 Showers about early.
1st Quarter, 25th

Oct 26. Slightly cooler. Normal lows 43.6 to 64.9 degrees.

28– Mild, slight increase of moisture as major cold front nears.

29th Thunderstorms after sunset through midnight with cold frontal passage. Colder.

30th. Possible light frost along and north of I-70 if it’s not too windy, but somewhat cloudy in the morning. Normal lows are 45.3 to a high around 65.4 degrees for today.

31st. Light frost possible. High is control. Temps of 34-38 to highs around 62-65 degrees.

November, 11th Month - Has 30 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

Changeable temperature from cool to warm, and then to cold.  Precipitation as a whole should be above normal, and temperatures below normal as most of 2009 has been so far.  Expect a cold start to slight warming to much colder 16 through 23 to cold and wet 21st through 30th as a whole.

Nov. 1st
Cool and dry.  We could see several reinforcing cold fronts next several days.

Full Moon –  Nov. 2  time 14:14 EST
Nov 2nd
SW winds bring warm (almost tropical) air northward from the Gulf. A somewhat dry weak cold front sweeps though Monday afternoon with  showers primarily to the north on Monday.  Generally clouds dissipate by sunset.

Nov 3 
Warm moist  (showers  north) air, last day as high pressure builds in from the west.

Nov 4 
Showers, then cooler with low pressure now off to the NE. Breezy NW winds. High pressure builds in.  Possible light frost.

Nov 5 – 6 
Continued cool and dry, but slightly more breezy on the 6 as warm front starts to move our way. A few showers is to the West of the Wabash river on the 6

Third Quarter 11-09 10:56 EST
Nov 9-10  Storm takes shape over the upper Midwest. A mostly dry cold front moves through before noon on the 9 bringing brisk windy conditions, and little rain. Colder.

Nov 11-14th 
High pressure dominates. Normal lows, highs range from 36.8 to 56.9 degrees.
New Moon Nov. 16, 14:14 EST

Nov 15-16th
Still cold, but storm developing to the west. Another storm could be in the Gulf, and head up the East Coast and draw much colder air behind low. Tropical storm potential activity near Acapulco 16-20.  Some of that moisture could spread into the SW US by the 17-18th.

Nov 17th
Cool moderate temperatures under mostly dry conditions, but T-storms by
Nov 18 to 20th.  Large area warm moist air up from the SW over the next several days could lead into a series of TS possibly severe TS (squall line) over the South and SE US just ahead of a strong cold front on the 20.  History also shows there is a tendency for sharp drop off of temperatures after the 19th.

Solar Ingress – Sagittarius Nov 21  23:10:42 EST      

Nov 21-22nd 
Much colder.  Generally these dates lows  are from 31.1 to a high of 55.7 degrees. Expect below normal temperatures for the next few days as high pressure builds into the region over the next several days.  It should be breezy so dress warmly.
Nov. 23rd  Continued cold.

Nov 24-25th
Frontal system from the West is pushing moisture upslope over colder moist air near the surface resulting in some Snow overnight.  Some snow map be possible in the higher elevations over the SE US, and NE by the 25. Turning colder with flurries possible

Nov 27-28th  
Light snow, or drizzle early locally. Developing snow storm with Low pressure Missouri, Iowa heading NE.  Single digits, teens around Casper, Wy.

Nov 29-30
Continued cold and wintry unsettled  weather conditions next several days  up to December 2nd.  Low pressure dominates – trouble spot, Kansas City, and Missouri. 

December, 12th Month - Has 31 Days

Conjecture of the Weather

December 2009 Long Range forecast…
Conjecture of weather. Dec 01-03 slightly above normal temperatures to start with. December 05 (much colder) , and also more wind when storms threaten up through February 10 shows above normal wind on average. December temperature is 36.1 degrees. Normal lows around 28.3, and normal highs around 43.9 degrees. Average rainfall 3.41" inches. Average snowfall, 3.1" inches. Trending to more windy NW winds after the 4th and much colder, 7,8, 18-14th, 27th-31st.   In general, watch for storms developing around the northern Gulf region and that move NE. This will bring several snows for a few inland states to our SE, and NE.  Another storm in Gulf by the 12th that will head up the East Coast, but should not become a Nor-Easter.

Dec 01-02
Full Moon, 2:14 PM Taurus Dec 2
Cold start, but highs touching around 57.7 Tuesday. December up/down temps, cold light snow at times Late Wed, early Thursday on the 3.   High pressure moving off the east coast. On the 2nd a low in the Gulf Upper low in Mexico right now), and approaching cold front from the NW brings first rain on Wednesday early, may shift to sleet, then light snow late Wed over to light snow, or flurries on Thur, 3rd. Turning much colder.

Dec 04
Turning much colder late with possible cumulus late afternoon. Possible lows in the lower 20 to teens for the upper mid-west.

Dec 5th and 6th
Breezy with mostly clear nights with  below normal temperatures.  That should setup conditions for snow.

Dec 8 19:13 EST Disseminating Moon

Dec 7-8
Snow north of I-70 early Monday 5-8AM, cold, rain south late, and breezy. All this along a E-W boundary. More snow, or rain over the state late Tue, early Wed.

Dec 9-10th
Snow ending late…. Then cold, dry, windy at times through Dec 11.

Sat  12-12  10:00:51 LMT  Balsamic Moon http://www.khaldea.com/articles/lunationplanning10.shtml

Dec 12-13
Cold/wet snows to slightly moderating temperatures as high pressure moves off to the east and low pressure moves our way. Normal lows, highs 30.2 to 40.8 degrees. A slight warming insight…
Dec 14-15 Stormy. Slight warm up – Heavy downpours to the south.  Frontal systems more apt to slow, or stall now.  This is also probably one of the wettest periods, and perhaps a few days after.
 
Dec 16 New Moon 07:02 EST

Dec 16  Low pressure systems – One storm off to the SE on 16. TS to the south, rain, snow N of I-70 as cold front moves through.   Rain briefly changes over to snow late on the 16, or early 17.

Dec 18–20 Very cold.  Large high pressure is over most of the US expect wet, mild, stormy west coast.   A deep cold over central states that may last several days.
 
Dec 21 Winter begins 12:35:01 Very cold start (below normal temperatures) especially after the 24, but slight brief warming,  breezy SW winds Dec 21, 22, 23 where most fronts stay to the north.
 
Dec 24 12:36 EST – Third Quarter Moon

Dec 24-26
A storm developed Dec 23 late and brings snow, and below normal temperatures.

Dec 27 Snowy, cold with near normal temperatures.

Dec 28 Cold front, Very flurries, brisk NW winds.

Dec 31 A once in a Blue Moon – 14:13 EST

 Dec 29-31 Continued cold.

Outlook for Winter December 21 through March 2010. Very cold below normal temperatures, windy, slightly above normal on snow chances.